Who will win and why? Round 10 betting tips and predictions

By on May 19, 2022 0

Sir Doug Nicholls Round kicks off with a thrilling encounter between fourth-placed Carlton and fifth-placed Sydney at Marvel Stadium.

The pick of the remaining fixtures this weekend is undoubtedly the annual Dreamtime in the ‘G clash between Richmond and Essendon.

See our Round 10 tips and predictions below:

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Carlton v Sydney

Friday – 7:50 p.m. – Marvel Stadium

It’s a decisive match for Carlton and Sydney on Friday night.

The Blues and Swans scored the same (105) in their respective wins over GWS and Essendon last week to further entrench themselves in the top eight.

Carlton find themselves in fourth place without key players, a testament to their improvement under coach Michael Voss.

Sitting 7-2 after nine rounds, another victory would bring the Blues one step closer to a first finals campaign since 2013.

Meanwhile, the 6-3 Swans returned to the winners list with an easy win over a struggling Bombers side. A wayward 14.21 return cost the Bloods an extra percentage.

A win for John Longmire’s side would see them jump into the top four at the expense of Carlton.

The Swans won their last meeting with the Blues by 22 SCG points in Round 11 last season.

Ahead of last year’s encounter, the games between the two clubs were close, with the Blues narrowly winning in 2019 (seven points) and 2020 (five points).

It’s a test of the four best references from Carlton and Sydney. A tight contest looms.

Point: Carlton by 7 points.

Alex Zaia


Geelong v Port Adelaide

Saturday – 1:45 p.m. – GMHBA Stadium

Geelong are back at GMHBA after a few weeks away and will be determined to find a winning form after a few defeats of late.

Chris Scott’s Cats traveled to St Kilda last weekend having comfortably represented GWS in Round 8. The previous week came a close loss to Fremantle in a rare home defeat.

Pride in the way they play at Kardinia Park is something close to their hearts, so bouncing back in front of the faithful will be a priority.

They do, however, meet a Port Adelaide side who have rediscovered their mojo with four straight wins.

Ken Hinkley’s Power beat the Cats in last year’s Qualifying Final, but the recent head-to-head record has been shared with the two clubs’ trade results in the last five outings.

Home advantage for Geelong is a talking point in this particular game given that they have won their last seven games against Port at this venue, with their last home loss to the South Australian club in 2007 .

Scott could have a problem in the ruck if Rhys Stanley doesn’t step up for it, and they may also be without Patrick Dangerfield due to a virus, but after learning a few lessons from Freo and the Saints recently they should be prepared retaliate here.

The Powers will be a nuisance and will likely be in the contest all day, but the comforts of home should see the Cats at home in a tight situation.

Point: Geelong by 7 points.

Andrew Slevison


Western Bulldogs v Gold Coast

Saturday – 1:45 p.m. – Stade Mars

Who would have thought that Western Bulldogs v Gold Coast would be one of the highlights of Round 10?

After those two teams won last weekend, the Dogs head to Ballarat to face a resurgent Suns who have won back-to-back games and remain one game and percentage out of the top eight.

Gold Coast’s last victory over Fremantle was perhaps Stuart Dew’s finest hour as a manager, at a time when some in the footballing world continue to link Alastair Clarkson’s name to his work.

A win over the Dogs and three rebound wins would put the Suns well into the Finals frame – with Saturday’s game essentially an eight-pointer against the ninth-placed Dogs.

If Gold Coast can negate the Western Bulldogs star midfielder, they will be keen to cause some upset and secure another big away win.

Point: Gold Coast by three points.

Laurence Rosen


North Melbourne vs. Melbourne

Saturday – 4:35 p.m. – Marvel Stadium

The AFL’s best side meet one of their worst on Saturday afternoon in a clash that is unlikely to end well for Kangaroos fans.

Melbourne have yet to taste defeat in 2022 or even be challenged, with Simon Goodwin’s men still one step ahead of any team they have faced in 2022.

While the Demons are often referred to as a team that has one other kit no one can match, it’s the club’s defense that holds them back when they don’t quite click higher on the ground.

Steven May and Jake Lever have had stellar seasons again and lead a defense that has conceded just 527 points in nine games, ranked No. 1 in the competition.

Meanwhile, North Melbourne’s attacking flair is among the worst in the competition, barely better than West Coast in terms of runs scored.

Apart from Nick Larkey (18 goals), the Roos clearly lacked forward targets, which contributed to their lackluster attack.

With Melbourne fresh off a 74-point win over the Eagles where they never got out of first gear, the club’s defense is once again expected to be stingy and keep David Noble’s troops to a minimum scoreline, which could see a large margin.

Point: Melbourne by 62 points.

Seb Mottram


Adelaide v St Kilda

Saturday – 7.30pm – Adelaide Oval

Saturday night’s St Kilda clash against Adelaide is shaping up to be an intriguing battle and one the Saints will hope to tick off as they look to continue to climb into the top four.

The Crows were brave in the loss to Brisbane last week but have now lost three on the rebound and are desperate for a winning performance.

St Kilda will be wary of what looks like a banana peel game in enemy territory, with Brett Ratten’s side having lost nine of 11 matches at Adelaide Oval.

All eyes will be on selection in Adelaide and whether they decide to bring Reilly O’Brien back to face Paddy Ryder and Rowan Marshall in the ruck.

Saints must be the favorites here and can’t quite afford a mistake if they have any of the four ambitions, but expect Adelaide to challenge on the back of an improved – albeit losing – performance. against the Lions in the ninth inning.

Point: St Kilda by 16 points.

Laurence Rosen


Richmond v Essendon

Saturday – 7:30 p.m. – MCG

The Dreamtime Match returns to Melbourne for the first time since 2019 after the 2020 and 2021 installments were played in Darwin and Perth respectively.

Richmond won comfortably last year after a close finish the previous year and have now won 11 on the trot against Essendon in a winning streak that dates back to 2014.

The Tigers enter this edition of Dreamtime at the ‘G after three straight wins that turned their season around, putting them in the top eight.

Damien Hardwick’s side have unlocked their goalscoring potential in recent weeks, picking up scores of 165, 113 and 117, to be the second-highest scoring side in the competition (before the round) behind Brisbane on 899, just one average of 99.

At the other end of the scale, the Bombers have conceded three 100-plus scores in their last five outings and have the league’s third most slippery defense heading into this weekend. They’re also struggling to set a winning score, averaging just 76 points per game for the year.

Questions have been posed to Ben Rutten and his team in recent weeks and they simply need to answer an important date on the footy calendar.

But with their offensive game up and about, and Tom Lynch in devastating form with 17 goals in three weeks, expect the Tigers’ streak against the Bombers to continue.

Point: Richmond by 25 points.

Andrew Slevison


GWS vs. West Coast

Sunday – 2:10 p.m. – Giants Stadium

GWS will be among the heavy favorites in interim coach Mark McVeigh’s first game in charge as the bottom-seeded Eagles cross the country to western Sydney.

Last time out, it was the Giants who prevailed at home, earning a 16-point victory in the 10th round last year.

In this game, the Giants made their presence felt from the stoppage with big bodies Tom Green (three votes), Callan Ward (two votes) and Jacob Hopper (one vote) dominating in the middle.

This will be the area of ​​the field that the Giants will once again back up to control, with the Eagles coming in 17th of all teams this year in clearances per game.

With a clear advantage down the middle, GWS should generate plenty of chances in front of goal, especially as the Eagles have conceded more runs than any other side so far in 2022.

Even though this game is technically a 15th vs 18th battle, it could get ugly for the Eagles, such is their horrible form line.

Expect McVeigh to kick off his tenure with a big home win.

Point: GWS of 38 points.

Lachlan Geleit


Hawthorn v Brisbane

Sunday – 3.20pm – University of Tasmania Stadium

Hawthorn has proven a bogey side for Brisbane in recent years, beating them in 2021 and 2020.

Last year they got the better of the Lions in Tasmania and will face them again at UTAS. Chad Wingard found 32 takedowns and threw for 2.2, while Jaeger O’Meara and Tom Mitchell combined for 69 touches.

Obviously, it’s a different Hawthorn under coach Sam Mitchell, and O’Meara and Mitchell play more complementary roles.

The Hawks looked stunning at their best, but struggled to sustain it for four quarters, which the battle-hardened Lions will lay out.

Brisbane are second on the ladder at 8-1 and have looked formidable at their best. Eric Hipwood will need time to regain his form at AFL level and the Lions remain without Dan McStay and Joe Daniher – can Hawks defenders expose their lack of height with James Sicily and Denver Grainger-Barrass?

Expect a bit of a scrappy game, but the question will be whether Hawthorn can throw a winning score.

Despite Hawthorn’s strong record, except the Lions are too strong at Tassie given all the circumstances.

Hint: Brisbane by 15 points.

Nic Negrepontis


Fremantle v Collingwood

Sunday – 5:20 p.m. – Optus Stadium

Fremantle and Collingwood come into Sunday’s game having lost Round 9.

The Dockers’ six-game winning streak ended at the hands of Gold Coast, scoring just four goals in their 36-point loss at Metricon Stadium.

Back on their home terrace at Optus Stadium, Justin Longmuir’s side will be looking for a quick response in order to preserve their top four status.

The Magpies travel to Perth looking to end a two game losing streak.

Collingwood dropped to 11th in the standings after their 48-point loss to the Western Bulldogs at Marvel Stadium, a performance that disappointed coach Craig McRae.

The Pies have been largely beaten in possessions contested (146-106) and clearances (43-27), two key areas they will be looking to address this week.

“I’m disappointed we didn’t put on a show on Friday night because we didn’t have too many chances to do so,” McRae said after the game.

“I just want to be better than that.”

The Dockers have won their last three meetings against Collingwood, including two in Melbourne.

It’s hard to get past the local side in this one.

Point: Fremantle by 13 points.

Alex Zaia